What role can consensus forecasts play?

I have a question about treating seasonality

Thank you for a very interesting presentation. Will it be possible to get a copy of the slides please? (And if so, where?)

Have you made use of hierarchical models to predict cities -> states -> national? e.g. Hyndman and Athanasopulos

George Box: All models are wrong; some are useful.

Please discuss advantages and disadvantages of deseasonality using filters or manual algorithms vs using the monthly data. My focus is monthly tourism data.

Monthly dummies

Vs. using dummies

Is your presentation available? Thanks

In the demography world, are there cyclical elements (e.g., recessionary periods in economic data) that are hard to predict or model? If so, how do you model them?

Isn't the baby boom the only true "generation

That exists?

in terms of significance