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Forecasting Seminar - Shared screen with speaker view
John Golmant
58:51
What role can consensus forecasts play?
Olga Bespalova
59:04
I have a question about treating seasonality
David Simmonds (DSC)
01:02:09
Thank you for a very interesting presentation. Will it be possible to get a copy of the slides please? (And if so, where?)
Keith Ord
01:02:16
Have you made use of hierarchical models to predict cities -> states -> national? e.g. Hyndman and Athanasopulos
John Golmant
01:02:30
George Box: All models are wrong; some are useful.
Olga Bespalova
01:07:09
Please discuss advantages and disadvantages of deseasonality using filters or manual algorithms vs using the monthly data. My focus is monthly tourism data.
Olga Bespalova
01:08:18
Monthly dummies
Olga Bespalova
01:08:27
Vs. using dummies
Rob Bain
01:09:22
Is your presentation available? Thanks
John Golmant
01:10:36
In the demography world, are there cyclical elements (e.g., recessionary periods in economic data) that are hard to predict or model? If so, how do you model them?
Erik Kappelman
01:13:50
Isn't the baby boom the only true "generation
Erik Kappelman
01:14:00
That exists?
Erik Kappelman
01:14:15
in terms of significance