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Forecasting Seminar - Shared screen with speaker view
Constantin Burgi
@simon: our model requires that we observe all quarters of a year. this restricts us to using the shorter term quarterly forecasts as we only observe part of the year for longer term forecasts. also, one driver of our results are prediction errors of earlier quarters requiring revisions of subsequent quarters, limiting the use of next year predictions.
Simon Sheng
Got it, thanks.
Simon Sheng
Very interesting paper and talk!