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The Society of Presidential Pollsters Endowed Lecture 2021 - Shared screen with speaker view
Lara Brown
01:19:24
Here's the weblink to see the slideshow and past polls: https://gspm.gwu.edu/society-presidential-pollsters
Lara Brown
01:21:08
Please if you have any questions, submit them via the chat and we'll take audience questions in a short while.
Mackenzie Neal
01:28:11
When submitting your questions, please note that all chat messages will be sent directly to hosts and co-hosts only. Messages will not be visible to other attendees. Thank you-- we look forward to hearing your thoughts!
Lara Brown
01:36:59
Do you think younger people's views on bipartisanship versus one-party governance may be related to their being raised during a time of polarization or do you think it is just "life cycle" impatience?
Lara Brown
01:39:56
So, do you think that the debate over the Dems reconciliation bill should be about substance as opposed to size of the package ($3.5T vs. $1.5T)?
Todd Belt
01:44:53
To what extent do you think that attitudes toward institutions are explained by Democrats being happy they won and Republicans feeling cheated?
Todd Belt
01:46:11
To what extent do you think that attitudes toward Congress reflect the large spending on Stimulus/Pandemic Relief, especially with money going directly into peoples’ pockets?
Mackenzie Neal
01:46:24
Thank you for your questions so far! Participants, at this time, please feel free to engage in discussion and direct questions to the chat. All messages are now be visible.
Lara Brown
01:48:04
Thank you, Mackenzie for helping with the chat! And thank you, Danny Parra, for all your work supporting this event!
Carrie Sheffield
01:49:36
It doesn’t look like you asked about Afghanistan. Do you think this could be a severe blow to Biden’s credibility?
Lara Brown
01:51:07
This is fascinating. It appears that voters know that some of the changes that started post-1994 have made our Congress less workable.
William S.
01:52:15
I agree Dr. Brown.
William S.
01:54:41
Is it a bit of utopian thinking by Democrats to believe that bipartisan solutions are on the uptick since Biden took office? I believe the Republicans still have their self-interests in mind.
Lara Brown
01:58:13
William -- Yes -- and/but Dems wanting to move forward absent bipartisanship is also about their self-interest. Famously Sen. Henry Clay (who was known as the "Great Compromiser") defined compromise as being about "giving up something you want" for a larger goal.
Lara Brown
02:00:42
Yay! Constitution Preamble questions!
Lara Brown
02:02:27
Interesting, this is something of a "flip" (age splits) with confidence about the future (older were more confident)...what do you think this is about?
Lara Brown
02:07:21
There was an "impatience" among conservatives on nominating and confirming conservative Supreme Court justices -- and they were willing to "break" the norms/system to wield raw power (like getting rid of the filibuster and packing the court).
William S.
02:07:22
Post Trump political fatigue
Lara Brown
02:08:44
Yes, I think there is post-Obama and post-Trump fatigue (each side organized and exhausted themselves to combat their opposition president).
William S.
02:24:32
Have you generated any data (public opinion) on the Democratic in-fighting between progressives (AOC), moderates (Schumer) and conservatives (Manchin)?
Lara Brown
02:24:47
Pew's validated voter analysis confirms this -- see: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/06/30/behind-bidens-2020-victory/
Lara Brown
02:26:46
Persuasion matters -- mobilization may not be the end thing about this.
Lara Brown
02:29:18
Sorry -- meant to type "mobilization may not be the only thing to focus on" (can't type and talk at the same time!)
Lara Brown
02:33:23
And the Republicans are more unified around the more conservative agenda (less infighting or not??
Todd Belt
02:35:12
👍
Todd Belt
02:37:22
Thanks everyone!
William S.
02:37:29
Thank You to everyone associated to producing this event.